Gordon Growth Dividend Discount Formula (2026)
The Gordon Growth Model (GGM) is the classical constant-growth variant of the Dividend Discount Model (DDM):
| Variable | Financial Meaning | Calculation Method |
|---|---|---|
| D1 | Next Year Projected Dividend | D0 * (1 + Growth Rate g) |
| r | Required Return / Cost of Equity | CAPM = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Equity Risk Premium |
| g | Constant Annual Dividend Growth | ROE * Retention Rate (1 - Payout %) |
Gordon Growth Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Formula: Intrinsic Value P0 = D1 / (r - g), where D1 = Next Year Dividend = D0 * (1 + g).
- Required Return (r): Calculated via CAPM (Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Equity Risk Premium).
- Constant Growth Rate (g): Retention Ratio * ROE. Must be strictly less than required return (r > g).
Best Suited Stocks for DDM Valuation
- Mature Dividend Aristocrats: Blue-chip PSUs, FMCG conglomerates, utility companies, and REITs with multi-year dividend growth histories.
- Model Limitation: Cannot value zero-dividend tech growth stocks or companies with erratic dividend payout policies.
DDM Margin of Safety
Buy dividend-paying stocks when their Current Market Price (CMP) trades at a 15-20% discount below the intrinsic DDM fair value calculated by this model.